Sunday, March 24, 2013

BC Economic Snapshot March 23 /2013



VANCOUVER, BC, Mar. 23, 2013/ Troy Media/ – B.C.’s retail spending growth moved in sync with the national performance in January, advancing 1 per cent from December to a seasonally-adjusted $5.12 billion, reversing the previous month’s slide.

Sales expanded in most retail sectors, led by higher motor vehicle and parts sales and a rebound in the building materials sector. Same-month sales were up 2.6 per cent from 2012, led by a 2.8 per cent gain in the Vancouver CMA.

January’s uptick was an encouraging sign following a holiday slump in December, but not enough to suggest a material improvement in consumer demand. Retail spending levels remained tempered and within the range observed through most of 2012 as consumers continued to hold back amidst a subdued labour market performance, housing market malaise, and broader economy uncertainty.

Once higher prices are factored in, B.C.’s retail sector likely recorded a drop in the unit volume of goods sold since early 2012, despite positive population growth. We expect retail sales growth will accelerate by about 4 per cent this year despite current weakness.
While employment and population growth will remain below average, growth in personal income and the shift back to a PST should provide a modest boost to the retail economy, particularly in the latter half of the year.

Manufacturing
Manufacturing sales in B.C. partially rebounded in January after stumbling in December. Sales rose to a seasonally-adjusted $3.19 billion, marking a 2.1 per cent increase from December and a 3 per cent gain from year-ago levels.

Year-over-year growth was led by wood-product manufacturing which increased 15 per cent and non-metallic mineral product manufacturing. In comparison, paper manufacturing was down 13 per cent.

Despite January’s rebound, activity crested in the third quarter and has since trended lower – coinciding with a slowdown in the broader exports and contributing in part to a decline in manufacturing employment.

Range-bound manufacturing sales over the past two years have remained more than 10 per cent below mid-decade levels. A rebound has been hindered by a challenging export economy and the elevated Canadian dollar.
| Central 1 Credit Union

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